Friday, October 19, 2007

Week 7 Bro's and Hoe's

Let me start out by saying that calling out of work at 8:30 when you should be in at 8 is usually frowned upon in corporate America. Further, sending an email to your boss after leaving a voicemail saying that you'll be out and having the wrong email address does not help the previously noted situation. However, going out on a Thursday night, getting hammered, almost making the drive down to A.C. at 2 am was well worth all the hassle of this morning. Let's hope I'm not fired upon my return.

Now that you know how my day on the couch started off; here's my thoughts on Week 7.

Willis McGahee - this is going be a sweet revenge game for Senor Willis
Kyle Boller/Derrick Mason - can anyone find the Bills defense? Maybe it already went to Toronto
Jeff Garcia/Joey Galloway/Ike Hilliard - Playing Detroit = QB/WR fantasy goodness guarantee
Byron Leftwich - a better QB than Harrington and gets to play a weak Saints pass D to ensure he's the right man for the job
Reggie Bush - consistent producer in PPR leagues, but when does he find the end zone; I'm going with this week
Lavarneus Coles/Jericho Cotchery - This game will at least allow Chad to be the QB until after their bye week; the Cinci D is helping to bring back the Bungles
Thomas Jones - Bungles don't stop the much either; another RB that I think find the end zone this week
Ocho Cino/T.J. Houshmanzadeh - It'll be funny to watch Barret/Dyson/Revis attempt to stop this duo
Carson Palmer - without a running game to rely on expect Carson to tear through the Jets secondary
Brian Westbrook - he'll prance and dance his way right through the piece of swiss cheese that has become the Bears defense
Fast Willie Parker - hopefully Najeh doesn't steal the TD's but the Steelers run and run often; they'll also be up a ton
Tony Romo and the entire Cowboys passing game - Dallas won't get it done on the ground and the Vikes give up the most passing yards in the league
Anyone wearing a Patriots uniform - they are playing the Phins... enough said [My prediction: 100-0]
Eli Manning/Plaxico Burress - Who knew they were tied with Manning/Harrison for most TD's between a duo over the past three years
Vernon Davis - this freak show is back and from what I hear, the Giants don't play well against TE's
Lendale White - consistently finds the end zone; will rely on more with Vince Young all gimpy
Larry Johnson - he's really got going the past few weeks and Oakland will make no difference
Sean Alexander - they'll be up big on the Rams and he needs to have a statement game to stop this Leonard Weaver chatter

Cedric Benson - here he is again; Bears are kicking themselves over letting TJ go
Brian Griese - don't throw him in there as a bye-week fill-in
Purple Jesus - B'oys will stack the box and force the Vikes to use Tavaris Jackson; plus he's still splitting carries with Taylor
Marshawn Lynch - not on the Ravens D in Baltimore
Lee Evans - really missed on this guy this year; not going to get going this week
Calvin Johnson - a slower comeback than most expect and plays an underrated Tampa D
Edgerrin James - All the Skins need to do is put 8 in the box against Rattay and a dying Arizona passing game
Tim Rattay - just look above; this guy shouldn't be starting in NFL games
Anquan Boldin - not the week to make your comeback
Travis Henry and the Denver Broncos - Pitt has the toughest D in the league
Santonio Holmes/Hines Ward - too much FWP as they grind out the game on the ground
Big Ben - see above and I've never really liked the kid
Julius Jones/Marion Barber - Minn stuffs the run and these guys cancel each other out too often
Brandon Jacobs and the Giants backfield entourage - Jacobs is dinged up and Ward/Druoghns do well enough filling in that nobody has much value
Ahman Green/Ron Dayne - Tenn plays big up front and will force Schaub to the air

Week 7 NFL

Home Team in Bold

Baltimore -3 Buffalo
NY Jets +6 Cinci
Minnesota +9 1/2 Dallas
Tampa Bay +2 1/2 Detroit
New England -16 1/2 Miami
Atlanta +9 NO
NY Giants
-9 SF
KC +2 1/2 Oakland
Philadelphia +5 Chicago
Pittsburgh +3 1/2 Denver
Seattle -9 St. Louis
Tennessee -1 1/2 Houston
-8 1/2 Arizona
Jacksonville +3 Indy

Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Week 6 NFL Scorecard

First off, I need to comment on the Chris Chambers trade. As a lifelong Dolphins fan, I'm a huge proponent of the move. The Dolphins are cooked for this year and well into next year and getting a 2nd round draft pick for a guy who has been wildly inconsistent and has lacked the discipline and willpower to make himself better is great. When the year is done, they might as well do all they can to move Jason Taylor and if possible Zach Thomas to get any first-day draft picks and cut tons of money. That's about all that's of any value on the Phins sans Ronnie B. Further, let me announce to the world the official start of the Ted Ginn Jr. era in Miami and the kickoff of operation: Miami Tanking for #1 pick. Can't say it was the smartest pick but they did all I asked in avoiding Brady Quinn. He hasn't shown all that much although a 30 YPC average is quite impressive, albeit 3 receptions. Let's hope the kid pans out and all the critics can be silenced but I'm not holding my breath - we've had our fair share of disappointments. On another note, I'm still undecided whether it should be Andre Woodson, Tim Tebow, or Brian Brohm at #1 next year but I'm leaning toward Woodson.

Moving on, Week 6 was quite a recovery for me with the exception of the complete miss on the NE/Dallas game. So much for defense showing up. The Pats are just a machine and are playing football in its purest and most beautiful form.So here's the recap:

Couldn't have been more spot on with the Purple Jesus (Adrian Peterson), LDT, Tony Gonzalez, LJ, and Westbrook but it doesn't end there. I went out on a limb with Cleo Lemon and I think 4 TD's answers that question. I saw the Brees comeback on it's way and knew Engram could fill-in for Branch no questions asked. Not huge game for White, McGahee, Bush, or Wright but all had either a TD or 100 yards; can't complain about that kind of fantasy production. Even backed Greg Olsen and he pulled through. On the stay away half, you would have done fine to listen to me on Benson (obviously), Frerotte (like teh Ravens weren't gonna eat this guy up), Brian Leonard, and the top GB receivers as well as Matt Schaub, Tony Romo, Witten, Barber, and the mess of a running game in Oakland. Let's not forget the soon to be replaced Warrick Dunn.

Now that I'm done tooting my horn, I wasn't exactly perfect. Can't say Bobby Wade, Bryant Johnson, Colston, Northuctt, or Bowe did anything spectacular; heck, some barely bothered to show up. Missed the boat on Braylon Edwards, Steve Smith, and Houshy; although I'm sure none of you benched them on my advice (not even I did). Brady, Moss and the Patriots looked god-like, Norwood broke one big run to ruin my day, Thomas Jones found his gaps against the Eagles while Derek Anderson continued his breakout year ripping up the Dolphins formerly stellar secondary.

Overall, I ended the week 32-16-8 (the 8 pushes being due to borderline performance or unforeseen injury).
Pushes - Chambers, Vince Young, Warner, Ronald Curry, Nick Folk, Ocho Cinco, Jacobs, and Shockey.
I'll take 2 out of every 3 picks anytime for a nice 66% right on the week - much improved from the 50% of last week.

Also, went 7-4-2 against the spread; too bad I didn't lay down some bones.

Monday, October 15, 2007

Top 100 Recap

Dwight Howard - the free throw issue looks like it's getting better and this kid is a monster on the glass... WATCH OUT
Luol Deng - position flexibility and a guy who gives you everything
David West - people will forget about him; remind them by stealing him
Mike Miller - the kid can shoot well and do other things well too
Andrew Bynum - I think we have one of the NBA's premier big men in the making; so sure you want to leave Kobe?
Shane Battier - so under appreciated in fantasy terms
Robert Swift - will get blocks and PT; people will forget as he missed all of last year
Marvin Williams - a great young player on a good young team; just spewing potential

Rashard Lewis - just got a fat contract and is already looking brittle
Carlos Boozer - sad to say but his son's health issues will bother him all season; also may have lost C eligibility in your league
Brandon Roy - the heel is still bothering him; always a chance of surgery
Raymond Felton - his FG% will kill you
Andris Biedrins - just don't think he follows up his breakout season as well
Monta Ellis - so many breakout sleepers on this team to take his spot and he's not fully healthy
Jason Terry - already talks of not starting and the Mavs just gave Devin Harris big money

Keep an Eye On
Acie Law - could end up being ATL's starting PG
Trevor Ariza - Athletic and will see time; look for boards and steals here
Tyrus Thomas - should lock up the starting PF spot in Chi-town; jsut hope Joe Smith doesn't make an appearance
Al Horford - never big on rookies but this kid is built and may take the job
Channing Frye - No Oden = playing time for this soft big man

Stay Away
Dwayne Wade - why pay a second round price for a guy who is at most going to give you 60 games
Greg Oden - just another warning; not even as a end game pick
Elton Brand - let someone else take a chance that he MIGHT make it back this year

NBA Top 100

1 LeBron James, Cle, SF
2 Kobe Bryant, LAL, SG
3 Kevin Garnett, Bos, F
4 Shawn Marion, Pho, SF
5 Dirk Nowitzki, Dal, PF
6 Steve Nash, Pho, PG
7 Gilbert Arenas, Was, PG
8 Amare Stoudemire, Pho,FC
9 Yao Ming, Hou, C
10 Jason Kidd, NJ, PG
11 Pau Gasol, Mem, PF,C
12 Tim Duncan, SA, PF,C
13 Chris Paul, NOK, PG
14 Josh Smith, Atl, GF
15 Chris Bosh, Tor, PF,C
16 Andre Iguodala, Phi, GF
17 Paul Pierce, Bos, GF
18 Vince Carter, NJ, SG,SF
19 Dwight Howard, Orl, PFC
20 Ray Allen, Bos, SG
21 Gerald Wallace, Cha, GF
22 Allen Iverson, Den, PG
23 Al Jefferson, Min, FC
24 Deron Williams, Utah, PG
25 Joe Johnson, Atl, G
26 Dwyane Wade, Mia, G
27 Rashard Lewis, Orl, SF
28 Marcus Camby, Den, C
29 Chauncey Billups, Det, PG
30 Baron Davis, GS, PG
31 Josh Howard, Dal, SG, SF
32 Caron Butler, Was, F
33 Michael Redd, Mil, SG
34 Luol Deng, Chi, F
35 Jermaine O'Neal, Ind, FC
36 Carmelo Anthony, Den, SF
37 Emeka Okafor, Cha, PFC
38 Carlos Boozer, Utah, FC
39 Tracy McGrady, Hou, SG,SF
40 Jason Richardson, Cha, GF
41 Kevin Martin, Sac, SG
42 Ron Artest, Sac, F
43 Antawn Jamison, Was, F
44 Kevin Durant, Sea, F
45 Kirk Hinrich, Chi, PG
46 Andrei Kirilenko, Utah, F
47 Mehmet Okur, Utah, C
48 David West, NOK, PF
49 Brandon Roy, Por, G
50 Tyson Chandler, NO, C
51 Mike Miller, Mem, GF
52 Lamar Odom, LAL, F
53 Rasheed Wallace, Det, PF
54 Mike Bibby, Sac, PG
55 Leandro Barbosa, Pho, G
56 Manu Ginobili, SA, SG
57 Andre Miller, Phi, PG
58 Tony Parker, SA, PG
59 Ben Gordon, Chi, G
60 Andris Biedrins, GS, C
61 Richard Hamilton, Det, SG
62 Jason Terry, Dal, PG
63 LaMarcus Aldridge, Por, FC
64 Zach Randolph, NY, PF
65 Ricky Davis, Min, GF
66 Ben Wallace, Chi, C
67 Randy Foye, Min, G
68 Richard Jefferson, NJ, SF
69 Raymond Felton, Cha, PG
70 Stephon Marbury, NY, PG
71 Corey Maggette, LAC, GF
72 Danny Granger, Ind, F
73 Monta Ellis, GS, G
74 Mo Williams, Mil, PG
75 Shane Battier, Hou, GF
76 Andrea Bargnani, Tor, F
77 Samuel Dalembert, Phi, C
78 T.J. Ford, Tor, PG
79 David Lee, NY, PF
80 Andrew Bynum, LAL, C
81 Peja Stojakovic, NO, SF
82 Rajon Rondo, Bos, PG
83 Rudy Gay, Mem, GF
84 Al Harrington, GS, FC
85 Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Cle, C
86 Andrew Bogut, Mil, C
87 Jameer Nelson, PG, Orl
88 Tayshaun Prince, Det, SF
89 Jamal Crawford, NY, G
90 Darko Milicic, Mem, FC
91 Stephen Jackson, GS, GF
92 Brad Miller, Sac, C
93 Boris Diaw, Pho, FC
94 Chris Kaman, Lac, C
95 Troy Murphy, Ind, FC
96 Raja Bell, Pho, SG
97 Josh Childress, Atl, GF
98 Marvin Williams, Atl, F
99 Robert Swift, Sea, C
100 Charlie Villanueva, Mil, F

Close Calls: Shaquille O'Neal, Tyrus Thomas, Eddy Curry, Morris Peterson, Luke Walton, Anthony Parker, Nenad Krstic, Devin Harris

Later tonight I will hopefully be able to put together some highlight's of this Top 100 list as well as add my $.02 on sleepers, busts, and straight out avoids for draft day. I also hope to put together my weekly scorecard for Week 6 in the NFL as I did pretty well other than the swing and miss on the Pats/'Boys game.